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Session 84:
Stochastic projection of demographic parameters

Thursday, July 21
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Salle Moheau
Level +2
Chair: Heather Booth, Australian National University
Discussant: Len Smith, Australian National University

1. Stochastic simulation of consistent population parameters for Germany  •  Frank Betz, University of Mannheim; Oliver Lipps, Swiss Household Panel

2. A state-space model for the fertility odds logarithm  •  Cristina Rueda, Universidad de Valladolid; Pedro C. Alvarez, Universidad de Valladolid; Pilar Rodriguez, Universidad de Valladolid

3. Using the Lee-Carter method to forecast mortality for a group of populations non-divergently  •  Nan Li, Duke University

4. Assumptions for national stochastic population forecasts in 18 European countries  •  Maarten Alders, Statistics Netherlands; Nico Keilman, University of Oslo; Harri Cruijsen, DEMOCAST

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